Russia has 70% of military capabilities required for a large-scale offensive, 'history invented': experts dismantle Putin's installation in Ukraine 16:15, (CNN) Russian President Vladimir Putin has now gathered 70% of military personnel and weapons According to him, on the border with Ukraine he would need a full-scale attack for the country.
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| Russia has 70% of military capabilities required for a large-scale offensive, |
The number is a guess based on the latest intelligence assessment, but officials did not specify what intelligence they had or how they compiled their assessment, citing the sensitivity of how the information was collected. The assessment represents a continued significant build-up of Russian forces on the Ukrainian border, but it is unclear how long it will take for Putin to augment troops, or whether the Russian president will have the full power to attack.
The cost of human life could be huge: some estimates suggest that the number of civilian casualties in Ukraine could be in the tens of thousands, including five million refugees.
U.S. officials, both publicly and privately, say they do not know whether Putin has made a final decision on military action, but behind the scenes, President Joe Biden's national security and intelligence agencies are counting on various situations and possible outcomes.
U.S. leaders are stuck in a game of Putin speculation
U.S. leaders are stuck in a game of Putin speculation
At secret closed-door briefings and public press conferences in Congress, U.S. officials are trying to paint a picture of the potentially dire consequences and dangers posed by Putin. There is a strong desire among U.S. officials to explain to the American people why Ukraine's fate could spill over into an era of global security and economic instability.
According to US estimates, Russia is adding troops to the region almost daily, and could soon be enough to launch an operation. Whatever Putin has done, as well as his public statements about Ukraine and NATO, U.S. officials widely believe he can make a decision soon, and he is more likely to move forward.
Officials constantly claim that their intelligence leads them to make these assumptions, but they are only guesses. But some are cold.
For example, if Putin disrupted its entire military base and air force in the Ukrainian capital, Kiev, the city could fall within 48 hours. They also speculate that Putin may decide to launch a multi-pronged operation, sending troops across Ukraine to quickly dismantle the Ukrainian military's ability to fight as an integrated force; Russian strategy is a classic military move.
The formation of Russian forces in Belarus is a matter of great concern & # 39; To American and European officials
The build-up of Russian forces in Belarus is a "great concern" for US and European officials.
The Pentagon has given a clear indication of the potential for Russian aggression. Pentagon Press Secretary John Kirby said earlier this week that "Mr. Putin continues to add forces, combined weapons and offensive capabilities." He did not show any signs of interest or desire to reduce the tension. " Putin has not only infantry and missiles, but also hundreds of fighter jets and bombers, as well as attack helicopters.
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General. Mark Millie, at a January 28 press conference, warned against making a brutal assessment.
"The kind of force that has been deployed ... if it is left over to Ukraine, it will be very significant and significant and will result in a huge number of casualties," Millie said. "You can imagine what it would look like in dense urban areas and on the side of the road. It would be horrible. It would be horrible."
Based on the universally available weather calculations, the best time for a Russian invasion would be when there is a solid freeze, so that heavy equipment can easily turn around. U.S. officials say Putin understands he must work by the end of March.
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